Note: this is the first entry in a two-part series on real estate. This first entry deals with housing depreciation in today’s current housing market. Check back on Friday for Part 2, where I will talk about home equity.
Forget about the flashy sports coupe, my greatest material goal is home ownership. Cliché, I know. Obviously, the picture here is not of me, but in a few years I hope to stand in front of my new home and scream jubilantly just like these two - my neighbors will be thrilled.
Anyway, graduating from school and starting a career does weird things to your outlook on life. You start thinking in terms of years rather than semesters and realize, “Hey, in time I think I could actually afford a home.”
I’m an idealist and an optimist. But it’s both a strength and a weakness someone could exploit to push me into a risky real estate deal. Take a good look at me, because I could be the kind of person predatory lenders would go after. Predatory lenders don’t go after our account numbers like identity thieves; rather they prey on our optimism. In turn, we’ve been lured into acquiring mortgages we ultimately can’t handle.
A recent article in The New York Times says many economists blame “overly loose credit and abusive loans” as a large source for the current housing downturn, one that’s had a far reaching impact on the entire U.S. economy and beyond. Basically, aggressive lending to sub-prime borrowers (note the definition of sub-prime, as in not ideal), coupled with low interest rates, fueled a housing boom which greatly inflated market prices. I’m no expert on real estate, but it sure sounds like building a shopping mall over a sinkhole to me. But for many (homeowners and lenders alike) I guess the dream was just too tempting. Here’s a link to a no-holds-barred Slate report on MSN, with links to other helpful articles about foreclosure. Here is a link to an article by the U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development on how to sniff out and avoid predatory loans.
The bubble has popped, and today many young home owners have been left to pick up the slack. Many borrowers financed with nontraditional loans like zero-down mortgages have run into big trouble. Folks were lured in by low initial teaser rates, but then found themselves drowning as their mortgages reset and payments mushroomed. This has led to scores of foreclosures and a market flooded with excess homes.
A flooded and troubled market means falling home prices. This has translated into a fierce case of depreciation for many. Home prices are down 15 percent on average from their high in July 2006. The California housing market has been especially hard hit, with home values falling 26 percent from just a year ago. According to the Slate article, a house in San Bernadino purchased for $310,000 in 2005 would now be offered for $199,900.
I want a house pretty badly, but I know I’m in no shape money-wise right now to handle it. On the other hand, if you do have the money, now would seem to be a great time to buy since prices are low. After seeing what’s happening, I think I’ll do things the old fashioned way — pay my dues, save up for a solid 20 percent down payment, and sign on with a fixed-rate mortgage. This is my dream, and it’s one I’m willing to wait for.